The City is About to Conduct its Annual Homelessness Survey. It Needs Your Help.
By Jack Delaney | jdelaney@queensledger.com
What you need to know:
- The HOPE survey is an annual estimate of how many people in New York are homeless but living on the street, rather than in shelters.
- The Department of Homeless Services relies on volunteers to carry out the citywide survey, which will take place on January 28.
- Critics say the count is inaccurate and downplays the scale of the problem, while officials stress that the data remains vital for supporting those who are chronically unhoused.
Read on:
In just a few weeks, thousands of volunteers will fan out across every borough to ask a simple question: “Do you have a place to sleep tonight?”
City agencies track the number of people staying overnight in shelters. But the purpose of the Homeless Outreach Population Estimate (HOPE) survey, now entering its 20th year, is to determine the size of another population: those in New York City who are currently sleeping in public spaces like streets and subway stations, eschewing the shelter system.
This year’s survey comes at an inflection point, as homelessness hits highs not seen since the Great Depression. As of October 2024, the last month on record, the Coalition for the Homeless estimates that around 350,000 New Yorkers were without homes. For reference, during the recession of the early 1990s, the city’s total population was just over 7 million, and about 6,000 people were using shelters each night. Today, with 8 million residents, that system is absorbing more than 130,000 people nightly.
Searching for answers to explain this spike, economists have traced the problem back to the gradual loss of single occupancy rooms that began in the 1950s. Current pressures — an historically low rental vacancy rate, a rise in asylum seekers, and a political atmosphere that makes non-punitive reform a poison pill — have exacerbated the issue. And while New York City is feeling the housing crisis acutely, it’s not an outlier. A nationwide point-in-time survey conducted last January by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development found that 771,480 people were homeless, which is the largest unhoused population the country has ever seen, up 13% from 2023.
Last year’s HOPE census marshalled 1,181 volunteers, complemented by a small contingent of professional outreach staff. DHS reintroduced volunteers in 2023, after halting community involvement during the pandemic, and will continue to train volunteers virtually for the upcoming count.
But the survey, mandated by the federal government and organized by the city’s Department of Homeless Services (DHS), has not escaped controversy. On its website, the agency calls the initiative “one of the most methodologically rigorous efforts nationwide to estimate the number of individuals who are experiencing street homelessness” — yet it has drawn criticism in the past for allegedly lowballing the real figures.
In 2016, City & State reported that activists were disputing that year’s HOPE results, which had suggested that street homelessness was declining. Critics like Mary Brosnahan, then-head of the Coalition for the Homeless, decried the fact that the survey only includes New Yorkers who have been on the street for more than a year, and argued that it was a means for city officials to downplay the scale of homelessness.
“Any rational person would agree,” said Brosnahan at the time, “that sending volunteers out on a single, bitterly-cold night in the dead of winter and attempting to count the heads of those who appear homeless is a preposterous way to accurately gauge the magnitude of the problem.”
Officials countered that the count is not meant to be a “comprehensive survey of all homeless people living on the city’s streets,” but rather a snapshot of a smaller subset struggling with particularly chronic homelessness.
In an email to community boards this month, a DHS spokesperson stressed the pivotal role that the resulting data plays in guiding the agency’s operations. “We depend on community leaders like you,” they wrote. “Just one night of your time will help us collect information that is critical to our efforts to move New Yorkers from the streets and into safe, stable environments.”
The HOPE survey is scheduled for January 28, and will run from 10 p.m. until 4 a.m. If you’re interested in volunteering, you can find more information at https://hoperegistration.cityofnewyork.us/.